Trump says Iran war is militarily over as nuclear negotiations remain uncertain

Trump says Iran war is militarily over as nuclear negotiations remain uncertain

Washington: US President Donald Trump has described the conflict with Iran as militarily effectively over, saying Washington does not currently see a need for further major attacks. However, the United States continues to maintain military pressure on Tehran through a naval blockade, while diplomatic efforts to reach a lasting agreement remain uncertain.

Trump made the remarks on November 9 following a meeting at the White House with Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani. The discussions focused on the regional situation and efforts to find a diplomatic solution to the conflict.

Trump said further military action against Iran did not appear necessary at present, although he stressed that American forces remained ready to respond if circumstances changed. He also expressed confidence that the conflict could end soon.

Despite his comments, the situation does not indicate a formal end to the conflict. US forces remain deployed in the region, and Washington continues to maintain its naval blockade of Iranian ports. American forces have also carried out limited strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island in recent days, indicating that military activity has not completely stopped.

The continuing blockade has become one of the main obstacles to reaching an agreement. Iran wants the United States to lift the restrictions as part of any broader settlement. Tehran is also seeking sanctions relief, an end to hostilities across the region, access to frozen assets and compensation for damage caused during the conflict.

Iranian officials have rejected Washington's suggestion that negotiations are approaching a settlement. Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, criticised American claims about the progress of negotiations and urged Washington to accept Tehran's conditions.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has indicated that his country remains open to discussions but will not accept an agreement imposed through military or economic pressure. Tehran has maintained that any lasting settlement must address its security concerns and the conditions surrounding the continuing blockade.

Iran has also defended its proposed conditions for ending the conflict, including the lifting of the US naval blockade and sanctions. A separate two day framework for advancing negotiations has been discussed through Qatar's mediation. However, the proposal has not resulted in an agreement between Washington and Tehran. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has criticised some of Iran's demands, describing them as unreasonable.

Qatar continues to play an important role in facilitating communication between the two countries. Sheikh Mohammed's meeting with Trump followed several weeks of diplomatic efforts aimed at preventing another escalation in the region. Doha has maintained contact with both sides and expressed its commitment to supporting negotiations.

The nuclear issue remains one of the most difficult parts of the discussions. Trump has repeatedly insisted that Iran must not acquire nuclear weapons and has called for a lasting agreement to address the threat posed by its nuclear programme. However, no publicly confirmed agreement has been reached to completely dismantle the programme.

Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan suffered damage during previous military attacks. The International Atomic Energy Agency has continued to seek access to the affected facilities to assess their condition and verify the remaining nuclear material.

Before losing access to the affected facilities, the IAEA had estimated that Iran possessed around 440.9 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 per cent purity. This remains a historical estimate rather than a verified measurement of the country's current stockpile. The agency has not been able to independently establish the present quantity and location of the material following the attacks.

Uranium enriched to 60 per cent is far above the level normally required for civilian nuclear power generation, although it remains below the approximately 90 per cent enrichment generally associated with weapons grade material. International inspections and the status of the remaining enriched uranium are expected to be important issues in any future agreement.

The conflict has also raised concerns among Gulf countries because of its potential impact on regional security, international shipping and energy supplies. The Strait of Hormuz, a major route for global oil transportation, remains particularly important to the situation. Any prolonged disruption to shipping through the waterway could affect energy prices and international trade.

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Kuwait have been identified by Trump as countries that favour avoiding another major military escalation. These countries have a strong interest in regional stability because of their economic and security ties to the Gulf.

Trump's latest remarks also come after the November 3 midterm elections in the United States, in which the Republican Party suffered major losses. The prolonged conflict and rising fuel prices have become important political concerns for his administration.

Although Trump's announcement suggests that Washington is moving away from further large scale military operations, the continuing blockade and absence of a formal ceasefire indicate that the crisis remains unresolved.

The immediate challenge for both governments is to turn the reduction in major military operations into a lasting diplomatic arrangement. Differences over sanctions, maritime restrictions, regional security and Iran's nuclear programme continue to stand in the way of an agreement, leaving the possibility of renewed tensions open.


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