Kabul: Diplomatic efforts to resolve long-standing tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan have suffered a major setback, as peace negotiations officially collapsed, even as the ceasefire brokered earlier remains in effect, according to the Taliban.
The Taliban’s spokesperson, Zabihullah Mujahid, confirmed that discussions aimed at addressing cross-border security challenges and insurgent movements between the two countries have ended without resolution. While the talks faltered, Mujahid emphasized that the existing ceasefire continues to be observed by the Taliban, signaling a fragile pause in hostilities.
At the heart of the breakdown is Pakistan’s insistence that Afghanistan assume responsibility for internal security threats impacting Pakistan. The Taliban rejected this demand, describing it as “beyond Afghanistan’s current capacity” and an infringement on the nation’s sovereignty. Pakistani officials, however, have consistently argued that militant groups continue to operate from Afghan territory, posing a threat to their security.
The dialogue had sought to address multiple long-standing issues. These included militant safe havens across the porous Afghanistan-Pakistan border, border security and trade regulation, and broader regional stability involving actors such as China, Iran, and Russia. The ceasefire, agreed upon as a confidence-building measure, was the only tangible outcome of the talks, which now hang in uncertainty.
Analysts warn that the collapse of the negotiations could erode trust between Kabul and Islamabad, potentially destabilizing a region already marked by insurgency and cross-border militancy. Although the Taliban claim adherence to the ceasefire, the absence of active diplomacy leaves open the possibility of sporadic clashes or escalation, particularly in border districts where militant networks are entrenched.
Regional implications are significant. The Afghanistan-Pakistan border has historically been a corridor for militant movements, illicit trade, and smuggling, including narcotics. Any deterioration in dialogue could embolden these networks, complicating efforts to maintain peace and security. Neighboring countries, including India, are likely to monitor developments closely, given potential spillover effects.
For now, the ceasefire provides a temporary pause, but experts note that without renewed negotiations or a political settlement, the risk of renewed conflict remains high. The breakdown underscores the complex interplay of sovereignty, security responsibility, and regional geopolitics that continues to challenge Afghanistan-Pakistan relations.
The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the ceasefire holds or whether tensions resume, potentially drawing in regional powers and destabilizing the borderlands further. Observers emphasize the need for renewed dialogue, confidence-building measures, and third-party mediation to prevent a complete collapse of peace efforts.