Amidst mounting inventory and a slowdown in sales, top executives in the automotive industry have acknowledged that their ambitious electric vehicle plans are facing significant challenges, particularly in the near future.
Leaders in the C-Suite of major automakers have expressed growing concerns about the growth of the electric car market, raising doubts about the feasibility of their multi-billion-dollar electrification strategies.
Among these apprehensive figures is GM's Mary Barra, who has historically been one of the automotive industry's most optimistic CEOs regarding the future of electric vehicles. GM has been a pioneer in the electric car market, having sold the Chevrolet Bolt for seven years and championed a fully electric future long before many competitors joined the electric revolution.
However, during GM's third-quarter earnings call this week, Barra and GM adopted a more cautious stance. The company announced that it was abandoning its targets to produce 100,000 EVs in the second half of this year and an additional 400,000 by the first half of 2024. GM currently lacks clarity on when it will achieve these goals.
"As we continue our transformation towards EVs, we are encountering some challenges," Barra conceded. While GM's shift in perspective surprised many investors, it is not the only company revising its outlook on the EV landscape. Even Tesla's Elon Musk cautioned in a recent earnings call that economic concerns could lead to declining demand for vehicles, even for the long-standing leader in the EV market.
Furthermore, Mercedes-Benz, which has had to offer substantial discounts on its EVs to stimulate customer interest, has been frank about the state of the EV market.
CFO Harald Wilhelm described it as a challenging arena, stating, "This is a pretty tough space. I can hardly envision that the current situation is sustainable for everyone."
Challenges Mount as Electric Vehicle Prices Drop and Inventory Grows
Mercedes is not an isolated case; these days, nearly all current EV products are being offered below their original sticker prices, and some even come with manufacturer incentives of almost 10%. This trend is a result of growing inventory at dealerships, which has left dealers frustrated. While consumers looking for bargains on electric vehicles are in a favorable position, industry executives are discovering that even substantial price reductions and incentives are insufficient. Electric cars are taking longer to sell compared to their gasoline counterparts, as the next wave of buyers places a strong emphasis on cost, infrastructure availability, and lifestyle barriers to EV adoption.
Just a few months after dealers started sounding the alarm about declining EV demand, manufacturers are beginning to acknowledge this reality. Ford was the first to adjust its plans, as dealers began refusing Mach-E allocations. In July, the company extended its self-imposed deadline to reach an annual production target of 600,000 electric vehicles by a year and abandoned its goal to manufacture 2 million EVs by 2026.
Honda's CEO, Toshihiro Mibe, signaled a change in direction by discontinuing plans with GM to collaborate on sub-$30,000 EVs, citing the challenging nature of the evolving EV landscape. "After studying this for a year, we decided that this would be difficult as a business, so at the moment we are ending development of an affordable EV," Mibe stated in an interview with Bloomberg this week.
For some, this scaling back of EV ambitions is not surprising. Toyota Motor Chairman Akio Toyoda, who has long been skeptical of his industry peers' all-electric strategies, commented on the situation at the Japan Mobility Show, noting, "People are finally seeing reality," as reported by the Wall Street Journal.